In June, Boeing delivered 10 aircraft, including two 737NGs, one 747-8F, three 767s, one 777, and three 787s. Airbus’ book-to-bill ratio is 1.52, thanks mainly to very strong order bookings in January. Airbus delivered a total of 196 jets from January to June, compared to 389 during the same period last year. Meanwhile, the KC-46 tanker (a military aircraft) has had a raft of issues over the years. Deliveries of 737 MAX aircraft have been on hold since March 2019. Prior to this, Airbus had retained an orders lead over its rival every year since 2012. In October of this year, Airbus delivered 77 aircraft, 59 of which were A320s. These include a number of evaluation reviews and reports to be held and issued by the FAA and the Joint Operations Evaluation Board (JOEB), which includes international partners from Canada, Europe, and Brazil. By the end of June 2020, Boeing’s backlog (total unfilled orders before ASC 606 adjustment) was 5,232 aircraft, of which 4,221, or 81 percent, were 737 NG/MAX narrowbody jets. Moreover, the slowdown in the wide-body market couldn't possibly have come at a worse time for Boeing. Moreover, given the precedent set by the global reaction to COVID-19, it's possible that future outbreaks will be dealt with in a severe and pre-emptive fashion. Prior to COVID-19, Airbus was targeting a 5 percent A320 rate increase to 63 jets per month from 2021, and was also discussing a further ramp-up with its supply chain that could have brought the production rate up to as high as 67 aircraft per month, or 804 per year, by 2023. Your privacy is very important to us. Boeing and Airbus delivered 10 and 36 commercial jets in June 2020 compared to 37 and 76 deliveries, respectively, in the same month last year. Turning to the second point, the recovery in commercial aviation is widely seen as being led by domestic flights rather than international, and that means narrow-body demand is likely to recover quicker than wide-body. American Airlines put Boeing’s 737 MAX back in the air with passengers Tuesday on … In addition, it’s easy to forget that Boeing too… Mr. Oestergaard is an expert in aerospace & defense market intelligence, fuel efficiency in civil aviation, defense spending and defense programs. Last month saw the WTO then rule in favor of Airbus, meaning that a new set of tariffs worth US$4bn per year can be imposed by the European Union. You may opt out of our email promotions at any time by selecting opt out, and your email address will be permanently removed from our list. Boeing hopes to win regulatory approval in August for the jet’s return to service, although that could be pushed back until fall. Airlines have had to ground some 787 planes and manufacturing issues have been found. The A330 and A350 programs are reduced to a rate of two and six aircraft per month, respectively. Between June 29 and July 1, a number of 737 MAX certification flight tests were carried out by Boeing and the FAA to evaluate Boeing’s proposed changes to the automated flight control system. Both Boeing and Airbus plan to cut more than 30,000 jobs in all. Europe With just 70 deliveries this year to date, Boeing is 169 shipments behind last year’s total for the first half of the year. For the full year 2019, Airbus handed over 642 A320 family aircraft, of which 551 were A320neos. In addition, the FAA will review and approve training programs for all part 121 operators. An aircraft control tower. Stock Advisor launched in February of 2002. Our experienced analysts compile, evaluate, and present accurate data for decision makers. The company also reported 60 737 MAX cancellations, for a total of -59 net new orders. We protect your personal information as if it were our own and we do not provide or sell this information to any other group or organization. Something completely different; first half a year Boeing results will be interesting, they will be announced on 29-Jul-2020. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! Airbus and Boeing both confronted a softer market for wide-body aircraft even before the coronavirus hit markets. The 777-300ER backlog includes two 777-200LRs. However, investors also need to consider the downside risks, and there appear to be more of them with Boeing than there are with Airbus right now. Management had high hopes for the new 777X aircraft to spur a new round of wide-body replacement demand, while also benefiting from ongoing sales of the 787. FI's market research reports offer concise analysis of individual programs and identify market opportunities. This would have put the company within reach of a total of 1,000 jets deliveries per year. Indeed, Boeing CEO David Calhoun said as much on the last earnings call: "[W]e currently estimate it will take around three years for travel to return to 2019 levels. Asia, Australia & Pacific Rim For example, Boeing generated $13.6 billion in FCF in 2018 (the year before the 737 MAX was grounded), representing over 15% of its current market cap. Boeing’s deliveries continue to suffer in the aftermath of two 737 MAX crashes and the subsequent deliveries halt and grounding of the fleet. This year to date, Boeing’s book-to-bill ratio, calculated as net new orders divided by deliveries, is negative due to cancellations exceeding gross orders. The author has used the Platinum Forecast System to retrieve the latest delivery forecasts and, for 2020, Forecast International’s analysts expect Boeing and Airbus to deliver 255 and 490 commercial jets, respectively. This is the main event. But the gap is closing. In October 2020 the EU won WTO permission to hit back with tariffs on $4 billion of American goods a year. Airbus A320neo vs. Boeing 737 MAX 8/9. The number of Airbus aircraft to be built and delivered represents 8.8 years of shipments at the 2019 production level. The FAA will retain its authority to issue airworthiness certificates and export certificates for all new 737 MAX jets manufactured since the grounding and will perform in-person, individual reviews of these aircraft. Boeing also announced that the 787 production rate will be reduced from 14 per month to 10 per month this year, and gradually reduced to seven per month by 2022. On April 27, Airbus announced that it had begun the process of furloughing more than 6,000 employees in Europe, including 3,200 production workers at its wing manufacturing site in Broughton, Wales, and another 3,000 workers in France. In comparison, Boeing’s backlog would “only” last 6.5 years at the 2018 level, which we use as a proxy for 2019 due to the severe drop in 737 MAX deliveries. Boeing 787-9 (Source: Air Lease Corporation) Source: U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Latin America & Caribbean Navigating the DoD Acquisition Budget During Uncertain Times, Stay up to date on the latest from Forecast International, http://www.boeing.com/commercial/#/orders-deliveries, https://www.airbus.com/aircraft/market/orders-deliveries.html, https://www.faa.gov/news/updates/?newsId=93206, https://www.boeing.com/commercial/737max/737-max-update.page, https://boeing.mediaroom.com/news-releases-statements?item=130685, https://boeing.mediaroom.com/news-releases-statements?item=130673, https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2020-04-29-Boeing-Reports-First-Quarter-Results, https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/trafficandcommuting/faa-accused-of-stonewalling-by-senators-pursuing-changes-to-agencys-safety-role-after-boeing-737-max-crashes/2020/06/17/b5c44316-b0c6-11ea-856d-5054296735e5_story.html, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-boeing-737max/u-s-faa-chief-to-testify-at-senate-hearing-on-boeing-737-max-idUSKBN2392YZ, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-boeing-737max/boeing-737-max-expected-to-remain-grounded-until-at-least-august-sources-idUSKCN22A35G, https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/27/business/airbus-furloughs/index.html, https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boeing-to-cut-nearly-10000-jobs-in-washington-more-than-12000-overall/, MTU Aero Engines Sees MRO Recovery In 2021, Airbus and Boeing Report November 2020 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries, United Aircraft Corporation the Centerpiece of Rostec’s Aviation Cluster, View all posts by Forecast International →, https://www.france24.com/en/20200630-airbus-to-cut-15-000-jobs-worldwide-a-third-of-them-in-france. Due to COVID-19, both manufacturers have been forced to temporarily close down production facilities and have announced significant production rate cuts. On May 27, Boeing announced it had resumed production of the 737 MAX in Renton, Washington. In comparison, Boeing only delivered 20 aircraft in October and a dozen of these were not 737s. Similarly, Airbus generated 3.5 billion euros in adjusted FCF in 2019 and had expected 4 billion euros in 2020 before the pandemic struck. The Boeing-Airbus rivalry started when Airbus offered four A300s to Eastern Airlines for a free six-month trial; the airlines liked the aircraft and ordered 23 more aircraft. The cases for buying stock in Airbus (OTC:EADSY) and Boeing (NYSE:BA) are pretty similar. Mr. Oestergaard has a Master’s Degree in Finance and International Business from the Aarhus School of Business – Aarhus University in Denmark. For the full year 2019, Boeing delivered 380 aircraft, while Airbus set a new all-time annual record, handing over 863 jets. This particularly affects Boeing and its sales of 737 MAX aircraft. On June 30, Airbus announced it plans to cut 14,000 jobs (5,000 in France, 5,100 in Germany, 900 in Spain, 1,700 in the U.K. and 1,300 elsewhere) as it deals with the effects of the coronavirus crisis. Market data powered by FactSet and Web Financial Group. However, there are numbers, and there is believing in the numbers. Better Buy: Boeing vs. Airbus ... Apr 18, 2020 at 12:24PM Author Bio. Lou has followed the markets for more than two decades, developing extensive contacts … For over 45 years, Forecast International intelligence reports have been the aerospace and defense industry standard for accurate research, analysis, and projections. The 737 MAX is expected to remain grounded until at least August. Note: Boeing 777-300ER orders include one 777-200LR. In addition, Airbus is furloughing 3,163 workers in Spain. Click here to learn more. Forecast International’s Platinum Forecast System is a breakthrough in forecasting technology which, among many other features, provides 15-year production forecasts. Getting life-saving satellite imagery to where it’s needed most. Airbus 2020 deliveries demonstrate resilience en. The Airbus NSR (“New Short Range”) will be a short haul aircraft that can both travel a longer distance and carry more people than any A320 variant that has come before it. Eurasia Post Script: Why not compare Boeing 737 MAX 8 vs Airbus A220/CS300 Many commentators have written in asking why don’t we compare a new plane (A220-300) with Boeing 737 MAX 8. The top aircraft fleet executive at Alaska Airlines says its decision to sell 10 Airbus A320 jets will be followed by the gradual return of 39 more leased Airbus aircraft between now and 2023. Recently, Boeing carried out a second round of layoffs involving an additional 1,030 employees companywide. Airbus’ CEO Guillaume Faury has told the company’s 135,000 employees to brace for potentially deep job cuts and warned that Airbus’ survival was at stake without immediate action. In June, Airbus delivered one A220, 31 A320s (all NEO), and four A350s. In 2018, Airbus booked a total of 747 net new orders and 831 gross orders, thereby losing the 2018 orders race. Airbus has only delivered 9,086 A320 planes. No rate cut has been announced for the A220 or the A380. While the commercial aviation industry has been dealt a severe blow by the COVID-19 pandemic, it will surely recover over time, and investors are getting an opportunity to buy into the stocks at a significant discount. Image source: Getty Images. In addition, Boeing and Airbus will have to make financial concessions to customers, and services revenue can come under threat as older planes are retired. Boeing, like Airbus, announced plans this summer to cut more than 10 percent of its global work force amid a steep decline in travel, which has forced airlines to delay and scale back plans to buy planes. As of July 2020, over 300 Boeing 737 Max and roughly 29 Airbus A320 family aircraft orders were cancelled. It's still a pretty safe bet that the industry will recover, though, and if either stock can get anywhere near the kind of earnings/free cash flow (FCF) generated in 2018/2019, then they will look like a very good value. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. Aircraft are being built at a low rate as more than a dozen initiatives focused on enhancing workplace safety and product quality are being implemented. Following the flights, the FAA announced that, while this was an important milestone, a number of key tasks remain. Boeing, however, continues to lead Airbus in deliveries of wide-body, larger planes such as Boeing's 787 Dreamliner and Airbus' A350, which enjoy bigger profit margins. Production rate assumptions were not changed on the 747 and 767 programs. At the end of June, Airbus’ reported a backlog of 7,584 jets, of which 6,694, or 88 percent, were A220 and A320ceo/neo family narrowbodies. Forecast International’s International Military Markets service provides a country-by-country examination of the military capabilities, equipment requirements, and inventories of over 120 nations. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Airbus has cut production on several programs and is looking to hold underlying jet output at 40 percent below pre-pandemic plans for two years. Year-to-date, Boeing has accumulated 59 gross orders (382 cancellations => -323 net new orders). By the time December was done, Airbus had.. Industrial sector focus. The latter figure represents 7.4% of Airbus's current market cap. Defense & Security Monitor, an Aerospace & Defense blog by. Deliveries Improve as Boeing and the FAA Complete Three Days of 737 MAX Certification Test Flights. Widely criticized former CEO Dennis Muilenburg told investors a RTS would occur in October 2019, but the company is still waiting for it deep into 2020. Prior to this, Boeing had retained a deliveries lead over Airbus since 2012. Blue collar workers physically making a better world. The European aerospace group announced Monday that it secured … Firstly, the manufacturer was able to bring the dispute with Boeing at the WTO to an end, as well as filing its own counter-claim. Fixing the 737 Max and getting it back in the air is crucial for Boeing. Aside from a second wave of the pandemic and associated travel restrictions, there's also the financial state of the airlines to consider. Those plans have now been shelved. On a risk/reward basis, investors will probably feel more comfortable buying Airbus. The 737 MAX debacle is a huge issue in itself, but there's also the problem of management's credibility, particularly regarding a return-to-service (RTS) for the 737 MAX. And in few days we shall see the order and delivery for Jun-2020 for Boeing. Sign up for the latest blog posts and products sent straight to your inbox. The last time this happened at the firm was back in 1962. As of 31 January 2020, Boeing had no outstanding unfulfilled orders for the 747-8I passenger version and 17 for the 747-8F freighter; Airbus had 11 A380s remaining to be delivered. Based on the numbers above and the assumption that commercial aviation will recover in a few years, both stocks look like a good value. EU financial assistance to Airbus, in addition to costing Boeing billions of dollars in sales, has contributed to Airbus replacing Boeing as the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer as of 2020. In February 2020, Bombardier sold their stake in the program due to financial issues, surrounding the insolvency of the train manufacturing division of the company. Financial performance: Airbus vs Boeing. Image The Boeing Co – The Boeing Co. This puts Boeing on track to deliver just 400 aircraft this year, half of what it delivered in 2018. will be interesting to see, how many Max are pending to be delivered (including these, already stated as unlikely to be delivered in the books). Over three days starting June 29, a number of 737 MAX certification flight tests were carried out by Boeing personnel and FAA officials to evaluate Boeing’s proposed changes to the automated flight control system. Each report includes a program overview, detailed statistics, recent developments and a competitive analysis, culminating in production forecasts spanning 10 or 15 years. Sales … It doesn't stop there. Next, a Continued Airworthiness Notification to the International Community (CANIC) and an Airworthiness Directive (AD) will be issued, followed by the official ungrounding of the aircraft. Let our market intelligence reports be a key part of reducing uncertainties and mastering your specific market and its growth potential. This compares to a total of 386 A320neo family aircraft delivered in 2018, up from 181 and 68 in 2017 and 2016, respectively. Production of the 737 MAX was suspended from January of this year until the end of May. Yet one is faring better than the other. Pricing for each region begins at $2,295, with discounted full-library subscriptions available. Boeing's 737 Max has been grounded since mid-March of last year. For the full year 2018, Boeing booked 893 net new orders and 1,008 gross orders. For 2020 to date, Airbus has accumulated 365 gross orders (67 cancellations => net of 298). Airbus released its final sales and production tally Monday, showing it delivered a total of 863 jets and won 768 net new orders in 2019. The biggest shock … by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent, Forecast International. Cumulative Growth of a $10,000 Investment in Stock Advisor, Better Buy: Boeing vs. Airbus @themotleyfool #stocks $BA $EADSY, Dow Jones Slumps 100 Points; Boeing Stock Lower After Fatal Crash; Cisco Fights to Close Acacia Merger, Boeing 737 Crashes Shortly After Takeoff in Indonesia, Boeing Agrees to $244 Million Penalty for 737 MAX Flaws, Airbus Sees Deliveries Plunge 34% as COVID-19 Takes Toll on Airlines, Boeing to Pay $2.5 Billion to Settle 737 MAX Criminal Probe, Copyright, Trademark and Patent Information. 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